Immaculate disinflation sentiment cheers investors

9 June 2023Tatton Weekly

Another positive week in global stock markets, which seems unremarkable given it has been fairly good since the beginning of May. However, looking more closely – as we do – two market dynamics tell us more market participants are warming up to...

Monday digest

5 June 2023Tatton Weekly

Overview: markets take good news in their strideIn last Tuesday’s digest, we suggested that with the absence of any good news, markets were likely overreacting to the relatively low probability of a US debt default. As it turned out, last week, not...

Markets take good news in their stride

2 June 2023Tatton Weekly

Last week we noted how the absence of specifically good news meant markets reacted more negatively than expected to the relatively low probability of a US debt default. We pointed out that the more notable event of the week had been bond...

Tuesday digest

30 May 2023Tatton Weekly

Overview: debt ceiling angst, or simply a lack of good newsLast week brought another bout of equity market volatility, with much of the blame for the market wobble attributed to the US government debt ceiling negotiations. The deadline after which the US...

Debt ceiling angst or simply lack of good news

26 May 2023Tatton Weekly

Compared to last week, markets did not really get much ‘new’ news to digest, and yet this week brought a renewed bout of equity market volatility. Given bond yields experienced even larger moves (up), speculation has been blaming the latest market wobble...

Monday digest

22 May 2023Tatton Weekly

Overview: Earnings improvements boost big tech stocksLast week, equity markets have generally headed higher. The most notable moves were in US stocks, with the large-cap tech names doing very well in aggregate. The Q1 earnings reports have almost all been published and, on...

Big tech stocks increase is ‘artificial’

19 May 2023Tatton Weekly

Last week we wrote that markets were facing growing risks. Since then, and at the time of writing, equity markets have generally headed higher. Japan has been enjoying a particularly good run with the Nikkei 225 making gains every day since last...

Monday digest

15 May 2023Tatton Weekly

Overview: Trust the MPC to rain on May’s paradeAfter a period of waiting, things are hotting up after central banks acted as expected. Although equity and bond markets have been bearing up well, in our estimation, underlying risks have increased since May...

Trust the MPC to rain on May’s parade

12 May 2023Tatton Weekly

After a period where it felt like there was a shortage of news, things are hotting up. Both equity and bond markets are bearing up well generally but, in our estimation, underlying risks have increased since May started.   After last week’s rate...

Tuesday digest

9 May 2023Tatton Weekly

Overview: rate sensitivity and banking failures set the toneWith the coronation bank holiday behind us, the UK’s attention turns this week to the Bank of England (BoE), with its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) expected to raise rates by 0.25% to bring the...

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